Are we solar yet?

Once electricity from the sun is cheaper than electricity from gas and coal, money moves to solar without anyone having to be persuaded. These four tests check how close that is, using public price data.

The charts behind each answer

Price of a solar module, in constant 2025 dollars per watt, on a log scale, with the long-run trend projected ten years forward.

Data table

Cost per MWh of electricity from a newly built US plant over its lifetime (unsubsidized LCOE, Lazard), with IRENA's worldwide solar average for comparison. Log scale.

Data table

Cost per MWh of building new US solar, compared with the cost of only running a gas or coal plant that is already built and paid off (fuel and operations, Lazard midpoints).

Data table

Average lithium-ion battery pack price in constant 2025 dollars per kWh (BloombergNEF survey), as a stand-in for the cost of making solar available at night. Log scale, with the recent trend projected.

Data table